KalshiResolved

What will Mamdani’s NYC favorability be in Siena’s next poll?: Will the percentage of New York City respondents who say they have a favorable opinion of Zohran Mamdani in Siena University’s poll be at least 62 in the first such poll released after Aug 13, 2026? At least 62%

No75%
At least 62%25%

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24h volume$617
7d volume—
30d volume—
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ResolvesApr 1, 2027in 6 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 11Sep 15Sep 19Sep 23Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the percentage of New York City respondents who say they have a favorable opinion of Zohran Mamdani in Siena University’s poll is at least 62% in the first such poll released after Aug 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
What will Mamdani’s NYC favorability be in Siena’s next poll?: Will the percentage of New York City respondents who say they have a favorable opinion of Zohran Mamdani in Siena University’s poll be at least 64 in the first such poll released after Aug 13, 2026? At least 64%Kalshi52% NoOpen
What will Mamdani’s NYC favorability be in Siena’s next poll?: Will the percentage of New York City respondents who say they have a favorable opinion of Zohran Mamdani in Siena University’s poll be at least 72 in the first such poll released after Aug 13, 2026? At least 72%Kalshi91% NoOpen
What will Mamdani’s NYC favorability be in Siena’s next poll?: Will the percentage of New York City respondents who say they have a favorable opinion of Zohran Mamdani in Siena University’s poll be at least 68 in the first such poll released after Aug 13, 2026? At least 68%Kalshi—Open
What will Mamdani’s NYC favorability be in Siena’s next poll?: Will the percentage of New York City respondents who say they have a favorable opinion of Zohran Mamdani in Siena University’s poll be at least 66 in the first such poll released after Aug 13, 2026? At least 66%Kalshi59% NoOpen
What will Mamdani’s NYC favorability be in Siena’s next poll?: Will the percentage of New York City respondents who say they have a favorable opinion of Zohran Mamdani in Siena University’s poll be at least 70 in the first such poll released after Aug 13, 2026? At least 70%Kalshi—Open
What will Mamdani’s NYC favorability be in Siena’s next poll?: Will the percentage of New York City respondents who say they have a favorable opinion of Zohran Mamdani in Siena University’s poll be at least 60 in the first such poll released after Aug 13, 2026? At least 60%Kalshi—Open
What will Mamdani’s NYC favorability be in Siena’s next poll?: Will the percentage of New York City respondents who say they have a favorable opinion of Zohran Mamdani in Siena University’s poll be at least 56 in the first such poll released after Aug 13, 2026? At least 56%Kalshi88% At least 56%Open
What will Mamdani’s NYC favorability be in Siena’s next poll?: Will the percentage of New York City respondents who say they have a favorable opinion of Zohran Mamdani in Siena University’s poll be at least 58 in the first such poll released after Aug 13, 2026? At least 58%Kalshi—Open

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As of Oct 1, 11:44 PM UTC