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Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?: Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii during the 2026 hurricane season? Before 2027

No96%

Before 20274%

Price checked at Sep 29, 08:09 PM UTC

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24h volume$514.6

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread3%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If a 74 mph or higher hurricane makes landfall in Hawaii during the 2026 hurricane season, then the market resolves to Yes. This market encompasses the primary southeastern islands of the state of Hawaii. Those islands are: Niʻihau, Kauaʻi, Oʻahu, Molokaʻi, Lānaʻi, Kahoʻolawe, Maui, and the island of Hawai'i. It does not include the Midway Atoll, nor the Northwestern Islands, also known as the Leeward Hawaiian Islands.

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As of Sep 29, 08:32 PM UTC