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Will Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?: Will Yellowstone National Park recreation visits in 2026 be above 5 million?

No91%
Above 5 million9%

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Spread1%
ResolvesApr 7, 2027in 6 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 12Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the National Park Service reports that Yellowstone National Park recreation visits in calendar year 2026 are above 5 million, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolution will be based on the finalized 2026 Recreation Visits figure published by the National Park Service Visitor Use Statistics program for Yellowstone National Park. Preliminary monthly or year-to-date figures will not be used for final resolution.

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As of Sep 29, 11:11 PM UTC