KalshiOpen

How many Idaho groundwater rights will be curtailed in 2027?: Will the total number of ground water rights listed as subject to curtailment for the 2027 irrigation season under the Idaho Department of Water Resources' operative curtailment orders in the Surface Water Coalition delivery call be above 800 as of October 31, 2027?

Above 80073%
No27%

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ResolvesJan 29, 2028next year

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 12Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the total number of ground water rights listed as subject to curtailment for the 2027 irrigation season under the Idaho Department of Water Resources' operative curtailment orders in the Surface Water Coalition delivery call is above 800 as of October 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
How many Idaho groundwater rights will be curtailed in 2027?: Will the total number of ground water rights listed as subject to curtailment for the 2027 irrigation season under the Idaho Department of Water Resources' operative curtailment orders in the Surface Water Coalition delivery call be above 900 as of October 31, 2027?Kalshi62% Above 900Open
How many Idaho groundwater rights will be curtailed in 2027?: Will the total number of ground water rights listed as subject to curtailment for the 2027 irrigation season under the Idaho Department of Water Resources' operative curtailment orders in the Surface Water Coalition delivery call be above 700 as of October 31, 2027?Kalshi78% Above 700Open
How many Idaho groundwater rights will be curtailed in 2027?: Will the total number of ground water rights listed as subject to curtailment for the 2027 irrigation season under the Idaho Department of Water Resources' operative curtailment orders in the Surface Water Coalition delivery call be above 500 as of October 31, 2027?Kalshi90% Above 500Open
How many Idaho groundwater rights will be curtailed in 2027?: Will the total number of ground water rights listed as subject to curtailment for the 2027 irrigation season under the Idaho Department of Water Resources' operative curtailment orders in the Surface Water Coalition delivery call be above 600 as of October 31, 2027?Kalshi81% Above 600Open
How many Idaho groundwater rights will be curtailed in 2027?: Will the total number of ground water rights listed as subject to curtailment for the 2027 irrigation season under the Idaho Department of Water Resources' operative curtailment orders in the Surface Water Coalition delivery call be above 1000 as of October 31, 2027? Above 1,000Kalshi64% NoOpen
How many Idaho groundwater rights will be curtailed in 2027?: Will the total number of ground water rights listed as subject to curtailment for the 2027 irrigation season under the Idaho Department of Water Resources' operative curtailment orders in the Surface Water Coalition delivery call be above 1100 as of October 31, 2027? Above 1,100Kalshi81% NoOpen

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As of Sep 29, 09:35 PM UTC