KalshiOpen

Will West Virginia's population grow in 2026?: Will West Virginia's resident population estimate for July 1, 2026 be above 1,766,147?

No79%

Above 1,766,14721%

Price checked at Sep 29, 09:45 PM UTC

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread1%

ResolvesJan 7, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the U.S. Census Bureau reports West Virginia's resident population estimate for July 1, 2026 is above 1,766,147, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolution will use the Vintage 2026 July 1, 2026 resident population estimate for West Virginia published by the U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates Program. The threshold of 1,766,147 is fixed and will not change if Census subsequently revises its estimate of West Virginia's 2025 population.

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As of Sep 29, 10:20 PM UTC