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How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?: Will integrated system load on the ERCOT grid during 2026 get above 92,000 MW?

No95%
Above 92,000 MW5%

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24h volume$0
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Spread1%
ResolvesJan 8, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 12Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If ERCOT reports that the integrated system load on the ERCOT grid during calendar year 2026 is above 92,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolution will use ERCOT’s integrated system load for a full hour. Instantaneous load readings will not be considered. ERCOT’s preliminary peak-demand figures may change during the settlement process. Resolution will use the applicable official settled peak-demand value published by ERCOT.

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As of Sep 29, 08:33 PM UTC