KalshiOpen

Texas crude oil production in 2026: Will Texas’s annual-average field production of crude oil for 2026 be above 5.7 million barrels/day?

Above 5.7 million barrels/day97%

No3%

Price checked at Sep 29, 09:42 PM UTC

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread1%

ResolvesApr 7, 2027in 6 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If EIA reports Texas’s annual-average field production of crude oil for calendar year 2026 is above 5.7 million barrels/day, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolution will use EIA’s Texas Field Production of Crude Oil statistic. Production is measured in thousand barrels per day and will be converted to million barrels per day by dividing by 1,000. EIA notes that its Texas estimates may differ from Railroad Commission of Texas figures, so only EIA data will be used.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Texas crude oil production in 2026: Will Texas’s annual-average field production of crude oil for 2026 be above 5.9 million barrels/day?	Kalshi	93% No	$1.4K	—	—	Open
Texas crude oil production in 2026: Will Texas’s annual-average field production of crude oil for 2026 be above 5.6 million barrels/day?	Kalshi	98% Above 5.6 million barrels/day	$23.4	—	—	Open
Texas crude oil production in 2026: Will Texas’s annual-average field production of crude oil for 2026 be above 5.8 million barrels/day?	Kalshi	53% Above 5.8 million barrels/day	$3.8	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 29, 10:15 PM UTC