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Average Wall Street bonus in 2026: Will average Wall Street bonus for 2026 be above $300,000?

No82%
Above $300,00018%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
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Spread1%
ResolvesApr 7, 2027in 6 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 12Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the New York State Comptroller reports the average Wall Street bonus for 2026 is above $300,000, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the New York State Comptroller’s annual estimate of the average bonus for securities-industry (NAICS 523) employees working in New York City for 2026. The OSC estimate includes cash bonuses and deferred compensation for which taxes have been withheld, and excludes stock options and other deferred compensation for which taxes have not yet been withheld. Subsequent revisions will not affect resolution.

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As of Sep 29, 10:16 PM UTC