Average Wall Street bonus in 2026: Will average Wall Street bonus for 2026 be above $300,000?
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Probability history
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Resolution rules
If the New York State Comptroller reports the average Wall Street bonus for 2026 is above $300,000, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the New York State Comptroller’s annual estimate of the average bonus for securities-industry (NAICS 523) employees working in New York City for 2026. The OSC estimate includes cash bonuses and deferred compensation for which taxes have been withheld, and excludes stock options and other deferred compensation for which taxes have not yet been withheld. Subsequent revisions will not affect resolution.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average Wall Street bonus in 2026: Will average Wall Street bonus for 2026 be above $200,000? | Kalshi | 97% Above $200,000 | Open |
| Average Wall Street bonus in 2026: Will average Wall Street bonus for 2026 be above $225,000? | Kalshi | 92% Above $225,000 | Open |
| Average Wall Street bonus in 2026: Will average Wall Street bonus for 2026 be above $325,000? | Kalshi | 93% No | Open |
| Average Wall Street bonus in 2026: Will average Wall Street bonus for 2026 be above $350,000? | Kalshi | 95% No | Open |
| Average Wall Street bonus in 2026: Will average Wall Street bonus for 2026 be above $250,000? | Kalshi | 74% Above $250,000 | Open |
| Average Wall Street bonus in 2026: Will average Wall Street bonus for 2026 be above $275,000? | Kalshi | 55% No | Open |
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As of Sep 29, 10:16 PM UTC