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Will Manhattan's Q4 2026 office vacancy rate be below 18%?: Will Manhattan’s overall office vacancy rate for Q4 2026 be below 18.0%?
Below 18.0%54%
No46%
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Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.24h volume$200
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesFeb 7, 2027in 4 months
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If Cushman & Wakefield reports that Manhattan’s overall office vacancy rate for Q4 2026 is below 18.0%, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the Manhattan overall vacancy rate reported in Cushman & Wakefield’s Q4 2026 Manhattan Office MarketBeat, covering the overall Manhattan office market. Subsequent revisions will not affect resolution. For reference, the same metric was 21.1% in Q4 2025, 19.9% in Q1 2026, and 19.3% in Q2 2026.
Venue activity
Read from the venue 2 days agoHolders—
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As of Oct 2, 05:12 PM UTC