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Will Nevada home prices rise YoY?: Will Nevada’s seasonally adjusted Purchase-Only House Price Index for Q4 2026 be above 423.62?
Above 423.6280%
No20%
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Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread4%
ResolvesMar 7, 2027in 5 months
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If FHFA reports that Nevada’s seasonally adjusted Purchase-Only House Price Index for Q4 2026 is above 423.62, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the Nevada (NV) Q4 2026 indexsa value in FHFA’s quarterly Purchase-Only State HPI dataset. The 423.62 threshold is fixed and will not change if FHFA later revises its Q4 2025 value. Use NV → 2026 → Q4 → indexsa
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As of Sep 30, 12:06 AM UTC