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Will Montana cattle inventory rise YoY?: Will Montana’s inventory of all cattle and calves for January 1, 2027 be above 2,140,000 head?

No70%
Above 2,140,000 head30%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesFeb 7, 2027in 4 months

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 12Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If USDA NASS reports that Montana’s inventory of all cattle and calves for January 1, 2027 is above 2,140,000 head, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is USDA NASS’s Cattle, Including Calves — Inventory estimate for Montana as of January 1, 2027. This includes all cattle and calves and is not limited to beef cows, dairy cows, or cattle on feed. The 2,140,000-head threshold is fixed and will not change if NASS later revises its January 1, 2026 estimate.

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As of Sep 29, 10:23 PM UTC