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Will Michigan auto manufacturing jobs rise YoY?: Will the combined annual-average employment in Michigan Motor Vehicle Manufacturing and Motor Vehicle Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 156,600 jobs?

No53%
Above 156,600 jobs47%

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24h volume$4.6K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesMay 7, 2027in 7 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 12Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the the combined annual-average employment in Michigan Motor Vehicle Manufacturing and Motor Vehicle Parts Manufacturing for 2026 is above 156,600 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolution will sum the 2026 annual-average values for BLS series SMU26000003133610001 and SMU26000003133630001. Both are measured in thousands of jobs and are not seasonally adjusted. The 156.6-thousand threshold is fixed. This definition does not include Motor Vehicle Body and Trailer Manufacturing (NAICS 3362), because BLS does not publish that statewide Michigan CES series separately.

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As of Sep 29, 07:25 PM UTC