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Will O’Hare set a new passenger record in 2026?: Will O’Hare International Airport’s total passenger volume for 2026 be above 84,856,018 passengers?

Above 84,856,018 passengers96%
No4%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
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Spread1%
ResolvesMay 7, 2027in 7 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 12Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If CDA reports that O’Hare International Airport’s total passenger volume for calendar year 2026 is above 84,856,018 passengers, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the calendar-year Total Passenger Volume reported by the Chicago Department of Aviation. This includes domestic and international revenue and nonrevenue passengers included in CDA’s passenger-volume statistics. It does not use TSA checkpoint screenings, customs counts, aircraft operations, or passenger projections. Resolution is based on the first CDA publication containing complete January–December 2026 passenger data; subsequent revisions do not affect resolution.

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As of Sep 29, 08:33 PM UTC