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Will Metro Orlando’s hotel demand for 2026 be above 34.5 million room nights?

Above 34.5 million room nights66%
No34%

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24h volume$470
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesMay 17, 2027in 8 months

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 19Sep 26Oct 2Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Visit Orlando reports that Metro Orlando’s hotel demand for calendar year 2026 is above 34.5 million room nights, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the calendar-year Hotel Demand figure for Metro Orlando, measured in room nights, as reported by Visit Orlando. It does not use average hotel occupancy, average daily rate, RevPAR, short-term-rental demand, visitor volume, or Tourist Development Tax collections. Resolution uses the first official Visit Orlando publication containing the complete 2026 year-end Hotel Demand figure; subsequent revisions do not affect resolution. Visit Orlando separately reports weekly and monthly room-night demand throughout the year.

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As of Oct 2, 10:48 AM UTC