Arkansas broiler production in 2026: Will Arkansas broiler production for 2026 be above 8.0 billion pounds?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If USDA NASS reports that Arkansas broiler production for 2026 is above 8.0 billion pounds, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is Arkansas broiler live-weight production, measured in pounds, in USDA NASS’s 2026 annual estimate. Importantly, the USDA-defined 2026 production period runs December 1, 2025 through November 30, 2026, rather than the calendar year. Broiler production includes other domestic meat-type strains. Resolution uses the first published 2026 annual estimate; subsequent revisions do not affect resolution.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas broiler production in 2026: Will Arkansas broiler production for 2026 be above 8.2 billion pounds? | Kalshi | 93% No | Open |
| Arkansas broiler production in 2026: Will Arkansas broiler production for 2026 be above 8.4 billion pounds? | Kalshi | 97% No | Open |
| Arkansas broiler production in 2026: Will Arkansas broiler production for 2026 be above 7.8 billion pounds? | Kalshi | 84% Above 7.8 billion pounds | Open |
| Arkansas broiler production in 2026: Will Arkansas broiler production for 2026 be above 7.6 billion pounds? | Kalshi | 96% Above 7.6 billion pounds | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Sep 29, 10:57 PM UTC