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Will Alaska crude oil production increase YoY in 2026?: Will Alaska’s total crude oil field production in 2026 be above 153.607 million barrels?

Above 153.607 million barrels80%

No20%

Price checked at Oct 2, 02:12 PM UTC

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24h volume$194.7

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread1%

ResolvesMar 8, 2027in 5 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Alaska’s total crude oil field production in calendar year 2026 is above 153.607 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is Alaska’s calendar-year total field production of crude oil, measured in barrels. The 153.607 million-barrel baseline is fixed to the 2025 annual total at market launch; later revisions do not change the strike.

Venue activity

Read from the venue 2 days ago

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As of Oct 2, 02:53 PM UTC