Who will run for Pennsylvania Senate in 2028?: Will John Fetterman announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?
Price checked at
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If John Fetterman has announced that they will run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028 after Issuance and before Feb 16, 2028, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is not mutually exclusive and multiple markets may resolve to Yes. The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources. An announcement made before Issuance does NOT resolve Yes. Announcing a campaign to contest this seat as an independent, or for any party's nomination, resolves YES. A person who announces and later withdraws still resolves YES.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.Venue activity
Read from the venue this minuteDiscussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.Sign in to join the discussion.
Nobody has said anything here yet.
As of Sep 29, 11:49 PM UTC