How many FY2027 continuing resolutions will become law?: Will the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law be at least 8 before October 1, 2027?
Price checked at
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law is at least 8 before October 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. A continuing resolution is a law providing continuing appropriations for any part of the 12 regular fiscal year 2027 appropriations areas. Each law counts once, however many areas it covers and however long it runs. Counts toward the total: A government-wide continuing resolution One covering only some areas, or only specific programs and activities A full-year continuing resolution One enacted after a lapse in appropriations has begun One enacted as a division of a broader law Does NOT count: A regular fiscal year 2027 appropriations act A supplemental appropriations act Continuing appropriations that do not cover fiscal year 2027 The count ends once all 12 regular fiscal year 2027 appropriations acts are law. A temporary government-wide extension does not end it. If all 12 never become law, the count is final on October 1, 2027. For fiscal year 2025 the applicable number is 3, the last of which funded the remainder of that year.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.Venue activity
Read from the venue this minuteDiscussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.Sign in to join the discussion.
Nobody has said anything here yet.
As of Sep 30, 03:08 PM UTC