Meta ordered to pay $10 billion or more in child safety case?: Will the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of California rule orders Meta Platforms, Inc. to pay the plaintiff States $10 billion or more in total monetary relief? Before Jul 1, 2027

If the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of California orders Meta Platforms, Inc. to pay the plaintiff States $10 billion or more in total monetary relief in the state attorney general actions in In re Social Media Adolescent Addiction/Personal Injury Products Liability Litigation, No. 4:22-md-03047 before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This market turns on money ordered, not on liability. The advisory jury's verdict is not a ruling of the court, so only a written order, opinion, judgment or decision issued by the court counts. Monetary relief means civil penalties, restitution, disgorgement and any payment into an abatement or remediation fund, added together across every plaintiff State and every claim in these actions. Amounts ordered in two or more orders are aggregated. Attorneys' fees and costs are NOT counted. A later reduction on post-trial motion or on appeal does not reverse a YES. The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion: Injunctive relief, however broad, including an order to change Facebook or Instagram or to delete data, algorithms or models The June 2026 summary judgment ruling on parental consent, which ordered no payment A settlement of any size, or a voluntary dismissal Oral rulings from the bench unless reduced to a written order Tentative rulings that are not made final Administrative or scheduling orders Awards in the personal injury, school district or other actions in this multidistrict litigation