KalshiOpen

Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026: Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 87,000 jobs?

No89%
Above 87,000 jobs11%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesMay 7, 2027in 7 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 12Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If BLS reports Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 is above 87,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is All Employees: Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing in Washington (NAICS 3364), measured in thousands of jobs. The officially published BLS annual-average figure will be used rather than independently averaging monthly values. Subsequent revisions after determination will not affect resolution.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026: Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 84,000 jobs?Kalshi60% Above 84,000 jobsOpen
Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026: Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 91,000 jobs?Kalshi96% NoOpen
Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026: Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 92,000 jobs?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026: Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 89,000 jobs?Kalshi94% NoOpen
Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026: Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 90,000 jobs?Kalshi97% NoOpen
Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026: Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 88,000 jobs?Kalshi94% NoOpen
Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026: Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 86,000 jobs?Kalshi87% NoOpen
Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026: Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 85,000 jobs?Kalshi66% NoOpen
Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026: Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 80,000 jobs?Kalshi97% Above 80,000 jobsOpen
Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026: Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 81,000 jobs?Kalshi95% Above 81,000 jobsOpen
Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026: Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 82,000 jobs?Kalshi91% Above 82,000 jobsOpen
Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026: Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 83,000 jobs?Kalshi81% Above 83,000 jobsOpen

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As of Sep 29, 07:24 PM UTC