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When will the UK cut or repeal its digital services tax?: Will the UK agree to or announce a cut or repeal of its digital services tax before Apr 6, 2028?

Before Apr 6, 202851%
No49%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
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Spread8%
ResolvesApr 13, 2028in 2 years

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 12Sep 18Sep 24Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the UK agrees to or announces a cut or repeal of its digital services tax before Apr 6, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. A market resolves to Yes on a UK government announcement that abolishes the digital services tax, reduces its rate, raises either of its revenue thresholds, suspends it, or exempts companies from its scope. There is no minimum size and the measure need not be legislated or in force before the strike date. A rate increase, or a change that only broadens the tax, does not resolve any market. An announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following: Formal commitment by the head of government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Announcements with a specified future implementation date Phased implementation announcements, and multi-party agreements to which the UK is a signatory, also qualify. The following do NOT qualify: Preliminary discussions Conditional agreements contingent on circumstances Opposition party statements Leaked documents or unofficial reports not confirmed by government sources Think-tank recommendations General aspirations without specific commitment Draft legislation without approval or adoption Regional or sub-national actions Retraction of previously announced commitments

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As of Sep 30, 07:51 AM UTC