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Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 136 million?

Above 136 million98%
No2%

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ResolvesMar 5, 2027in 5 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 12Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If VISIT FLORIDA reports that the number of visitors to Florida in calendar year 2026 is above 136 million, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the statewide total visitor estimate for calendar year 2026, measured in visitor person-trips. The total includes domestic, Canadian, and overseas visitors and excludes Florida residents. It does not use visitor days, hotel stays, airport passengers, or tourism spending. Resolution uses the first official publication containing the complete calendar-year 2026 estimate; subsequent revisions do not affect resolution.

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As of Sep 29, 10:27 PM UTC