Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Polymarket | 61% No | Open |
| Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Polymarket | 90% No | Open |
| Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Polymarket | 65% No | Open |
| Will Yisrael Beiteinu win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Polymarket | 84% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Sep 29, 10:11 PM UTC