Will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy by October 31?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hung Cao is confirmed by the U.S. Senate as Secretary of the Navy by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Hung Cao's nomination is formally withdrawn, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Secretary of the Navy for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Hung Cao's service as Acting Secretary of the Navy will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy by December 31? | Polymarket | 61% Yes | Open |
| Will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy by November 30? | Polymarket | 51% Yes | Open |
| Will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy by September 30? | Polymarket | 96% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Sep 29, 07:23 PM UTC