PolymarketOpen

Will John Kelly win the next Hobart mayoral election?

No56%

Yes44%

Price checked at Sep 30, 06:01 PM UTC

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24h volume$84.3

7d volume$95.7

30d volume$5.2K

Liquidity$977.1

Spread23%

ResolvesOct 28, 2026in 27 days

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).

Sourcehttps://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Mike Dutta win the next Hobart mayoral election?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Harvey Lennon win the next Hobart mayoral election?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Bill Harvey win the next Hobart mayoral election?	Polymarket	94% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Ryan Posselt win the next Hobart mayoral election?	Polymarket	87% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Marti Zucco win the next Hobart mayoral election?	Polymarket	95% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Louise Bloomfield win the next Hobart mayoral election?	Polymarket	82% No	—	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 30, 06:14 PM UTC