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Who will be the next White House Director of Legislative Affairs?: Will Amy Swonger be the next White House Director of Legislative Affairs before Jan 1, 2027?

No96%
Amy Swonger4%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
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Spread6%
ResolvesJan 5, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Amy Swonger formally holds the position of White House Director of Legislative Affairs before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes. The holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded. For the purposes of this Contract, only a subject who holds the position in a permanent, confirmed, elected, or otherwise non-acting and non-temporary capacity - as formally designated by the body or organization at which the position is held - is treated as formally holding the position; assumption of the role solely in an acting, interim, transitional, provisional, caretaker, pro tempore, or otherwise temporary capacity does not, by itself, satisfy the Payout Criterion. If a person serves only in an acting or interim capacity as of this market's date, No new Director of Legislative Affairs is the outcome. If that person is later designated permanently before this market's date, their own market becomes the outcome instead. No new Director of Legislative Affairs is also the outcome if no person has formally taken the position in a permanent capacity, or the person who has taken it is not among those named in this event.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Who will be the next White House Director of Legislative Affairs?: Will Walker Barrett be the next White House Director of Legislative Affairs before Jan 1, 2027?Kalshi84% NoOpen
Who will be the next White House Director of Legislative Affairs?: Will Tommy Andrews be the next White House Director of Legislative Affairs before Jan 1, 2027?Kalshi98% NoOpen
Who will be the next White House Director of Legislative Affairs?: Will Vince Haley be the next White House Director of Legislative Affairs before Jan 1, 2027?Kalshi97% NoOpen
Who will be the next White House Director of Legislative Affairs?: Will No new Director of Legislative Affairs be the next White House Director of Legislative Affairs before Jan 1, 2027?Kalshi63% NoOpen
Who will be the next White House Director of Legislative Affairs?: Will Katie Bailey be the next White House Director of Legislative Affairs before Jan 1, 2027?Kalshi92% NoOpen
Who will be the next White House Director of Legislative Affairs?: Will Jeff Freeland be the next White House Director of Legislative Affairs before Jan 1, 2027?Kalshi71% Jeff FreelandOpen
Who will be the next White House Director of Legislative Affairs?: Will Josh Grant be the next White House Director of Legislative Affairs before Jan 1, 2027?Kalshi96% NoOpen
Who will be the next White House Director of Legislative Affairs?: Will Ben Howard be the next White House Director of Legislative Affairs before Jan 1, 2027?Kalshi96% NoOpen

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As of Sep 29, 10:24 PM UTC