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Will Glacier National Park set a visitation record in 2026?: Will Glacier National Park recreation visits in 2026 be above 3,305,512?

Above 3,305,51284%
No16%

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ResolvesMar 19, 2027in 6 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Aug 22Sep 1Sep 10Sep 20Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Glacier National Park reports that total Glacier National Park recreation visits in calendar year 2026 are above 3,305,512, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the National Park Service's “Recreation Visits” measure for Glacier National Park. Non-recreation visits, visitor hours, overnight stays, and other visitor-use measures will not be included. Current-year NPS visitation data are preliminary and subject to revision. NPS states that the data are finalized by the end of the first quarter of the following calendar year, so resolution will use the first finalized 2026 recreation-visits total rather than a preliminary monthly or YTD figure.

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As of Sep 29, 09:23 PM UTC