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Saxony-Anhalt state election: CDU vote percent: Will CDU receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election?

No96%
At least 20%4%

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ResolvesOct 15, 2026in 15 days

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Resolution rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by CDU in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election is 20% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is the Christian Democratic Union's share of the Landesstimme, the party list vote, calculated as votes received divided by total valid Landesstimmen cast, times 100, rounded to two decimal places. Resolution uses certified official results, not preliminary results. Invalid, spoiled and rejected ballots are excluded from both the numerator and the denominator. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond expiration, every market resolves to NO.

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As of Sep 30, 10:13 PM UTC