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Who will be a part of the next government of Saxony-Anhalt?: Will BSW be a part of the next government in Saxony-Anhalt?

No80%
BSW20%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
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Spread8%
ResolvesFeb 15, 2027in 5 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Aug 22Sep 1Sep 10Sep 20Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If a coalition that includes BSW make up the next elected ruling government of Saxony-Anhalt before Jan 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is not mutually exclusive and multiple markets may resolve to Yes. A party is considered to be part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position (including junior ministers or equivalent executive roles, if applicable) in the new government. This evaluation shall occur at the first official, stable formation of the government (i.e., once the legislative process for forming a government is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances).

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As of Sep 29, 10:19 PM UTC