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Housing units authorized in Vermont in 2026: Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 1,900 units?

Above 1,900 units51%
No49%

Price checked at

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesMay 10, 2027in 7 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Aug 24Sep 2Sep 11Sep 20Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in calendar year 2026 is strictly above 1,900 units, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the total number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont, across all structure types. Resolution will use the first finalized annual 2026 figure published by the U.S. Census Bureau. Preliminary monthly and year-to-date estimates will not determine the market.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Housing units authorized in Vermont in 2026: Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 2,600 units?Kalshi96% NoOpen
Housing units authorized in Vermont in 2026: Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 2,500 units?Kalshi93% NoOpen
Housing units authorized in Vermont in 2026: Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 2,400 units?Kalshi90% NoOpen
Housing units authorized in Vermont in 2026: Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 2,300 units?Kalshi83% NoOpen
Housing units authorized in Vermont in 2026: Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 2,000 units?Kalshi65% NoOpen
Housing units authorized in Vermont in 2026: Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 2,200 units?Kalshi79% NoOpen
Housing units authorized in Vermont in 2026: Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 2,100 units?Kalshi71% NoOpen
Housing units authorized in Vermont in 2026: Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 1,700 units?Kalshi79% Above 1,700 unitsOpen
Housing units authorized in Vermont in 2026: Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 1,800 units?Kalshi69% Above 1,800 unitsOpen
Housing units authorized in Vermont in 2026: Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 1,600 units?Kalshi84% Above 1,600 unitsOpen

Venue activity

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Held value—
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As of Sep 29, 10:25 PM UTC