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Will Matthew McConaughey run for office before 2028?: Will Matthew McConaughey announce a run for any government office in ANY YEAR? Yes

No65%
Yes35%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread7%
ResolvesJan 1, 2028next year

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Aug 23Sep 2Sep 11Sep 20Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If, after Issuance and before January 1, 2028, Matthew McConaughey publicly announces that he will run for any government office in any election year and the announcement is reported by a Source Agency, then the market resolves to Yes. The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources. The announcement may concern any government office in any election year. Statements made in character for a scripted production, including the Apple TV+ series Brothers, do not qualify.

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As of Sep 29, 10:21 PM UTC