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Parti Québécois majority in Quebec's National Assembly?: Will the Parti Quebecois win at least 64 seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? 64 or more

64 or more53%
No47%

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24h volume$256.4
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread2%
ResolvesNov 5, 2026next month

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the Parti Quebecois has won at least 64 seats in the 2026 Quebec general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. Majority control means more than half of the seats in Quebec's National Assembly, as certified by Élections Québec. Only seats actually contested and filled are counted. By-elections after the main election are included only if seated simultaneously with the rest of the legislature.

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As of Sep 30, 12:46 AM UTC