KalshiOpen

Which Canadian provinces will call a snap election before 2028?: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the government of Ontario calls a snap provincial election before Jan 1, 2028?

No92%
Ontario9%

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24h volume$0
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Spread9%
ResolvesJan 8, 2028next year

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the government of Ontario calls a snap provincial election after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. A snap election is one called to occur at least 90 days earlier than either the previously scheduled election date or the latest date legally required. The announcement must be made by a person or body with the legal authority to call the election and must specify an actual election date. Where a province has no fixed election date in force, the reference date is the latest date on which the election is legally required, being five years from the return of the writs for that province's most recent general election A province holding its already-scheduled fixed-date election is NOT a snap election Each province's market resolves on its own call only. A snap election in one province does NOT resolve any other province's market Yes It does not matter whether the early election follows a lost confidence vote or a premier's own choice

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Which Canadian provinces will call a snap election before 2028?: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the government of British Columbia calls a snap provincial election before Jan 1, 2028?Kalshi99% British ColumbiaOpen
Which Canadian provinces will call a snap election before 2028?: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the government of Saskatchewan calls a snap provincial election before Jan 1, 2028?Kalshi92% NoOpen
Which Canadian provinces will call a snap election before 2028?: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the government of Quebec calls a snap provincial election before Jan 1, 2028?Kalshi90% NoOpen
Which Canadian provinces will call a snap election before 2028?: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the government of Prince Edward Island calls a snap provincial election before Jan 1, 2028?Kalshi92% NoOpen
Which Canadian provinces will call a snap election before 2028?: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the government of Manitoba calls a snap provincial election before Jan 1, 2028?Kalshi68% ManitobaOpen
Which Canadian provinces will call a snap election before 2028?: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the government of New Brunswick calls a snap provincial election before Jan 1, 2028?Kalshi92% NoOpen
Which Canadian provinces will call a snap election before 2028?: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the government of Nova Scotia calls a snap provincial election before Jan 1, 2028?Kalshi90% NoOpen
Which Canadian provinces will call a snap election before 2028?: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the government of Newfoundland and Labrador calls a snap provincial election before Jan 1, 2028?Kalshi90% NoOpen
Which Canadian provinces will call a snap election before 2028?: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the government of Alberta calls a snap provincial election before Jan 1, 2028?Kalshi75% NoOpen

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As of Sep 30, 05:22 PM UTC