KalshiOpen

Next Gemini Pro model release: Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Oct 1, 2026?

No94%

Before Oct 1, 20266%

Price checked at Sep 29, 07:08 PM UTC

Trade

Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →

Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.

24h volume$1.4K

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread2%

ResolvesJan 15, 2027in 4 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Google releases next Gemini Pro model before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Next Gemini Pro model release: Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Oct 16, 2026?	Kalshi	55% No	$1.9K	—	—	Open
Next Gemini Pro model release: Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Nov 16, 2026?	Kalshi	90% Before Nov 16, 2026	$222	—	—	Open
Next Gemini Pro model release: Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Dec 1, 2026?	Kalshi	69% Before Dec 1, 2026	$103	—	—	Open
Next Gemini Pro model release: Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Nov 1, 2026?	Kalshi	88% Before Nov 1, 2026	$94.6	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 1 hour ago

Holders—

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Sep 29, 07:25 PM UTC