KalshiResolved

Will US new home sales for August 2026 be above 600,000?

No83%

Above 600,00017%

Price has not been independently checked yet.

This market has settled. The prices shown are final.

Trade

Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →

Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.

24h volume$394.7

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread—

ResolvesOct 1, 202621 hours ago

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If US new home sales (New Residential Sales) for August 2026 (seasonally adjusted annual rate, SAAR, reported in thousands of homes) is above 600,000, then the market resolves to Yes.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will US new home sales for August 2026 be above 640,000?	Kalshi	75% No	$726.5	—	—	Open
Will US new home sales for August 2026 be above 660,000?	Kalshi	86% No	$502	—	—	Open
Will US new home sales for August 2026 be above 620,000?	Kalshi	56% Above 620,000	$417.8	—	—	Open
Will US new home sales for August 2026 be above 580,000?	Kalshi	89% Above 580,000	$200	—	—	Open
Will US new home sales for August 2026 be above 540,000?	Kalshi	98% Above 540,000	$39.1	—	—	Open
Will US new home sales for August 2026 be above 680,000?	Kalshi	97% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will US new home sales for August 2026 be above 560,000?	Kalshi	84% Above 560,000	$0	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue this minute

Holders—

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Oct 2, 12:10 PM UTC