KalshiResolved

US new home · Median sales price in August: Will Median Sales Price for New Houses Sold in the United States (MSPNHSUS) for August 2026 be above $415,000?

No88%

Above $415,00012%

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

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ResolvesOct 1, 202615 hours ago

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the Median Sales Price for New Houses Sold in the United States (MSPNHSUS) for August 2026 is above $415,000, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the first value published by FRED for the August 2026 observation of Median Sales Price for New Houses Sold in the United States (MSPNHSUS), stated in U.S. dollars, not seasonally adjusted.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
US new home · Median sales price in August: Will Median Sales Price for New Houses Sold in the United States (MSPNHSUS) for August 2026 be above $420,000?	Kalshi	96% No	$189	—	—	Open
US new home · Median sales price in August: Will Median Sales Price for New Houses Sold in the United States (MSPNHSUS) for August 2026 be above $410,000?	Kalshi	90% No	$97	—	—	Open
US new home · Median sales price in August: Will Median Sales Price for New Houses Sold in the United States (MSPNHSUS) for August 2026 be above $390,000?	Kalshi	79% Above $390,000	$93	—	—	Open
US new home · Median sales price in August: Will Median Sales Price for New Houses Sold in the United States (MSPNHSUS) for August 2026 be above $405,000?	Kalshi	70% No	$13.6	—	—	Open
US new home · Median sales price in August: Will Median Sales Price for New Houses Sold in the United States (MSPNHSUS) for August 2026 be above $400,000?	Kalshi	53% Above $400,000	$0.9	—	—	Open
US new home · Median sales price in August: Will Median Sales Price for New Houses Sold in the United States (MSPNHSUS) for August 2026 be above $395,000?	Kalshi	68% Above $395,000	$0.9	—	—	Open
US new home · Median sales price in August: Will Median Sales Price for New Houses Sold in the United States (MSPNHSUS) for August 2026 be above $375,000?	Kalshi	78% Above $375,000	$0	—	—	Open
US new home · Median sales price in August: Will Median Sales Price for New Houses Sold in the United States (MSPNHSUS) for August 2026 be above $385,000?	Kalshi	62% Above $385,000	$0	—	—	Open
US new home · Median sales price in August: Will Median Sales Price for New Houses Sold in the United States (MSPNHSUS) for August 2026 be above $380,000?	Kalshi	87% Above $380,000	$0	—	—	Open
US new home · Median sales price in August: Will Median Sales Price for New Houses Sold in the United States (MSPNHSUS) for August 2026 be above $365,000?	Kalshi	99% Above $365,000	$0	—	—	Open
US new home · Median sales price in August: Will Median Sales Price for New Houses Sold in the United States (MSPNHSUS) for August 2026 be above $370,000?	Kalshi	85% Above $370,000	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Oct 2, 06:13 AM UTC