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European Central Bank rate decision in December: Will the European Central Bank Maintain current rate at the December ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting?

No61%
Maintain current rate39%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread43%
ResolvesDec 17, 2026in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 23Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the European Central Bank takes the action of Maintain current rate at December ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).

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As of Sep 30, 08:51 PM UTC