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Bank of England rate decision in November: Will the Bank of England Cut more than 25bps at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?

No99%
Cut more than 25bps1%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
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Spread1%
ResolvesNov 5, 2026next month

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Aug 25Sep 3Sep 12Sep 21Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the Bank of England takes the action of Cut more than 25bps at November Monetary Policy Committee meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).

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As of Sep 29, 07:36 PM UTC