KalshiOpen

Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond: Will Paul Mescal be the next James Bond?

No99%
Paul Mescal1%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread2%
ResolvesJan 1, 2030in 3 years

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Aug 26Sep 4Sep 12Sep 21Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Paul Mescal is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. This is for the next film in the James Bond series, which goes back to Dr. No (1962); spin-offs and unauthorized productions are not included.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond: Will Jack Lowden be the next James Bond?Kalshi54% NoOpen
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond: Will Callum Turner be the next James Bond?Kalshi64% NoOpen
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Venue activity

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As of Sep 29, 07:21 PM UTC