James Bond · Release Date: Will the next James Bond be released in the USA before Jul 1, 2028?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If next James Bond has been publicly released in the USA through official channels before Before Jul 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. This is for the next film in the James Bond series, which goes back to Dr. No (1962); spin-offs and unauthorized productions are not included. The media must be made available to the general public through at least one official distribution channel, including theatrical release, streaming availability, physical media (DVD, Blu-ray), or authorized digital purchase/download. The release must be accessible without special invitations or industry credentials in at least one major metropolitan area if the geography refers to a country. Private screenings, film festivals, leaked content, and torrent availability do not qualify. Trailers and soundtracks do not satisfy the criterion unless the full media is released. Different versions or formats of the same base content (theatrical, director's cut, extended edition) are considered the same media if the core content is substantially identical. Foreign language titles are considered the same media unless otherwise specified.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| James Bond · Release Date: Will the next James Bond be released in the USA before Jan 1, 2029? | Kalshi | 73% Before Jan 1, 2029 | Open |
| James Bond · Release Date: Will the next James Bond be released in the USA before Jan 1, 2028? | Kalshi | 81% No | Open |
| James Bond · Release Date: Will the next James Bond be released in the USA before Jul 1, 2027? | Kalshi | 88% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Sep 29, 09:30 PM UTC