KalshiOpen

Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (September 2026): Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be at least 50 in Sep 2026?

No98%

At least 502%

Price checked at Sep 29, 10:42 PM UTC

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread1%

ResolvesJan 4, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 50 in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (September 2026): Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be at least 25 in Sep 2026?	Kalshi	99% No	$560.6	—	—	Open
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (September 2026): Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be at least 20 in Sep 2026?	Kalshi	99% No	$493.7	—	—	Open
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (September 2026): Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be at least 30 in Sep 2026?	Kalshi	99% No	$406.3	—	—	Open
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (September 2026): Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be at least 10 in Sep 2026?	Kalshi	96% No	$1	—	—	Open
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (September 2026): Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be at least 40 in Sep 2026?	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (September 2026): Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be at least 15 in Sep 2026?	Kalshi	96% No	$0	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 3 hours ago

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As of Sep 29, 11:17 PM UTC