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Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place: Will People of Israel finish 2nd in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election?

No99%
People of Israel1%

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24h volume$0
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Spread5%
ResolvesNov 5, 2026next month

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Aug 29Sep 6Sep 14Sep 22Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If People of Israel finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes. Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order. Rank is based on Knesset seats, not national vote share, using the Central Elections Committee's final certified result rather than preliminary counts. A party or list awarded no seats cannot place 2nd. Joint candidate lists count as single entities. Their seats are not credited separately to constituent parties. A newly formed joint list is a separate entity; a name change alone does not change a party or list's identity. Seats of separate lists are not combined for surplus-vote agreements or post-election coalitions. If no listed party or list finishes or ties for 2nd place, every market on this event resolves NO. In case of an exact tie for 2nd place among multiple parties as certified by the election authority, the markets shall resolve to $1/(number of tied entities) rounded down. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place: Will Zehut finish 2nd in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place: Will Yashar finish 2nd in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election?Kalshi63% NoOpen
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place: Will Yisrael Beiteinu finish 2nd in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election?Kalshi98% NoOpen
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place: Will Zionist Home–The Reservists finish 2nd in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place: Will United Torah Judaism finish 2nd in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election?Kalshi98% NoOpen
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place: Will A Place for All of Us finish 2nd in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place: Will Religious Zionist Party finish 2nd in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place: Will Ra'am finish 2nd in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place: Will Shas finish 2nd in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election?Kalshi97% NoOpen
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place: Will Together finish 2nd in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election?Kalshi94% NoOpen
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place: Will Unity finish 2nd in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place: Will New Economic Party finish 2nd in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place: Will Joint List (Hadash–Ta'al–Balad) finish 2nd in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election?Kalshi98% NoOpen
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place: Will Noam for Israel finish 2nd in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place: Will Otzma Yehudit finish 2nd in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election?Kalshi98% NoOpen
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place: Will Likud finish 2nd in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election?Kalshi51% NoOpen
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place: Will Blue and White finish 2nd in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place: Will Israel First finish 2nd in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place: Will The Democrats finish 2nd in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election?Kalshi98% NoOpen
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place: Will Haredi Public finish 2nd in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election?Kalshi99% NoOpen

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As of Sep 29, 10:10 PM UTC