KalshiOpen

Total space launches in September: How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in September 2026? Above 11

Above 1195%
No5%

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24h volume$177.7
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread5%
ResolvesOct 7, 2026in 8 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 23Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have Above 11 launches in September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Source Agency records the date of liftoff in a different time zone, the Exchange will convert to Eastern Time for purposes of allocating the launch to the time period. Please see full rules for more details.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Total space launches in September: How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in September 2026? Above 12Kalshi99% NoOpen
Total space launches in September: How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in September 2026? Above 16Kalshi98% NoOpen
Total space launches in September: How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in September 2026? Above 15Kalshi96% NoOpen
Total space launches in September: How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in September 2026? Above 17Kalshi98% NoOpen
Total space launches in September: How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in September 2026? Above 10Kalshi97% Above 10Open
Total space launches in September: How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in September 2026? Above 18Kalshi99% NoOpen
Total space launches in September: How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in September 2026? Above 14Kalshi98% NoOpen
Total space launches in September: How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in September 2026? Above 13Kalshi99% NoOpen
Total space launches in September: How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in September 2026? Above 9Kalshi96% Above 9Open

Venue activity

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As of Sep 29, 09:13 PM UTC