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Who will win the 2027 Uttar Pradesh Assembly election?: Will Bahujan Samaj Party win the 2027 Uttar Pradesh Legislative Assembly election?

No97%
Bahujan Samaj Party3%

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24h volume$0
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Spread3%
ResolvesJun 22, 2027in 9 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 1Sep 8Sep 16Sep 23Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Bahujan Samaj Party wins the 2027 Uttar Pradesh Legislative Assembly election, then the market resolves to Yes. For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. If an unlisted party, coalition, or alliance wins the most seats, every named market resolves NO. Alliance labels are interpreted as publicly constituted at issuance.

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As of Sep 30, 02:43 PM UTC