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In what year will the next UK general election be held?: Will it be confirmed that 2026 was the calendar year in which the official polling day for the next UK general election occurred?

No99%
20261%

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24h volume$200
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread2%
ResolvesJan 8, 2030in 3 years

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2030, the claim that 2026 was the calendar year in which the official polling day for the next UK general election occurred has been reported as confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency, then the market resolves to Yes. Each market's year is determined by the official polling day that actually occurs, not an announced or scheduled date that is later changed. If the official polling day for the next UK general election occurs in a year not listed, every market resolves NO.

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As of Sep 30, 12:42 AM UTC