KalshiOpen

Brazilian presidential election: Augusto Cury vote percent (1st Round): Will Augusto Cury receive at least 15% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No98%
At least 15%2%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread2%
ResolvesNov 4, 2026next month

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 23Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Augusto Cury in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 15% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is Augusto Cury's share of the valid votes cast in the first round, calculated as votes received divided by total valid votes cast, times 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided by the Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution provisions in the Contract, resolution uses certified official results from the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, not preliminary results. Invalid, spoiled, blank, and rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Brazilian presidential election: Augusto Cury vote percent (1st Round): Will Augusto Cury receive at least 4% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Kalshi62% NoOpen
Brazilian presidential election: Augusto Cury vote percent (1st Round): Will Augusto Cury receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Kalshi94% At least 3%Open
Brazilian presidential election: Augusto Cury vote percent (1st Round): Will Augusto Cury receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Kalshi86% NoOpen
Brazilian presidential election: Augusto Cury vote percent (1st Round): Will Augusto Cury receive at least 8% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Kalshi91% NoOpen
Brazilian presidential election: Augusto Cury vote percent (1st Round): Will Augusto Cury receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Brazilian presidential election: Augusto Cury vote percent (1st Round): Will Augusto Cury receive at least 10% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Brazilian presidential election: Augusto Cury vote percent (1st Round): Will Augusto Cury receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Kalshi94% At least 1%Open
Brazilian presidential election: Augusto Cury vote percent (1st Round): Will Augusto Cury receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Kalshi86% At least 2%Open

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As of Sep 29, 09:12 PM UTC