KalshiOpen

Brazil presidential election: 5th place (1st round): Will Rui Costa Pimenta finish 5th in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No99%
Rui Costa Pimenta1%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
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Spread1%
ResolvesNov 4, 2026next month

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Rui Costa Pimenta finishes in 5th place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes. Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For a two-round system where this event specifies the first round: rank is based on certified first-round vote count or percentage In case of an exact tie for fifth place, markets resolve proportionally, $1 divided by the number of tied entities, rounded down. A candidate not listed on this event who finishes fifth makes every named market resolve NO. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve NO.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Brazil presidential election: 5th place (1st round): Will Renan Santos finish 5th in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Kalshi69% NoOpen
Brazil presidential election: 5th place (1st round): Will Ronaldo Caiado finish 5th in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Kalshi68% NoOpen
Brazil presidential election: 5th place (1st round): Will Wilson Grassi finish 5th in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Brazil presidential election: 5th place (1st round): Will Pablo Marçal finish 5th in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Brazil presidential election: 5th place (1st round): Will Samara finish 5th in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Brazil presidential election: 5th place (1st round): Will Romeu Zema finish 5th in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Kalshi78% NoOpen
Brazil presidential election: 5th place (1st round): Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish 5th in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Brazil presidential election: 5th place (1st round): Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish 5th in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Brazil presidential election: 5th place (1st round): Will Hertz Dias finish 5th in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Brazil presidential election: 5th place (1st round): Will Edmilson Costa finish 5th in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Brazil presidential election: 5th place (1st round): Will Clariana Barão finish 5th in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Brazil presidential election: 5th place (1st round): Will Augusto Cury finish 5th in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Kalshi87% NoOpen

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As of Sep 29, 09:30 PM UTC