KalshiOpen

When will a court halt an NYC municipal grocery store?: Will a court halt an NYC municipal grocery store before Dec 1, 2026?

No95%
Before Dec 1, 20265%

Price checked at

Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread4%
ResolvesJul 8, 2027in 9 months

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If a New York State court issues an order prohibiting, suspending, or pausing the opening or operation of at least one planned New York City municipal grocery store in Multicultural Business Coalition v. City of New York, Index Nos. 160693/2026 and 160694/2026, or a proceeding formally related to, consolidated with, transferred from, renumbering, succeeding, or reviewing either named matter and concerning the same requested relief before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The ruling must: Be issued by a New York State court in Multicultural Business Coalition v. City of New York, Index Nos. 160693/2026 and 160694/2026, or a proceeding formally related to, consolidated with, transferred from, renumbering, succeeding, or reviewing either named matter and concerning the same requested relief Address the matter described by the specified judgment Be issued through a written order, opinion, judgment, or decision A temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, permanent injunction, or other written relief qualifies if it has the operative effect of prohibiting, suspending, or pausing the opening or operation of at least one planned New York City municipal grocery store. Partial relief affecting only one planned store is sufficient. A temporary restraint contained only in an order to show cause does NOT qualify; the restraint must be issued through a separate qualifying written order, opinion, judgment, or decision. The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion: Oral rulings from the bench unless reduced to a written order Tentative rulings that are not made final Draft opinions that leak but are not officially issued Settlements or voluntary dismissals Administrative or scheduling orders Orders to show cause Minute orders that do not address the substantive issue in the specified judgment For clarity: Sua sponte rulings count if they match the specified judgment Per curiam opinions and summary orders count as rulings If multiple judges issue separate opinions, the majority/plurality opinion controls

Other legs of this event

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Sep 30, 12:23 AM UTC