KalshiOpen

Will the gold close price be above 4850.99 USD/t.oz on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4850.99

No97%
Above $4850.993%

Price checked at

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesSep 30, 2026in 21 hours

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 23Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4850.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will the gold close price be above 4130.99 USD/t.oz on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4130.99Kalshi82% Above $4130.99Open
Will the gold close price be above 4290.99 USD/t.oz on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4290.99Kalshi94% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 4170.99 USD/t.oz on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4170.99Kalshi64% Above $4170.99Open
Will the gold close price be above 4210.99 USD/t.oz on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4210.99Kalshi70% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 4010.99 USD/t.oz on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4010.99Kalshi96% Above $4010.99Open
Will the gold close price be above 4330.99 USD/t.oz on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4330.99Kalshi97% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 4250.99 USD/t.oz on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4250.99Kalshi85% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 4090.99 USD/t.oz on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4090.99Kalshi96% Above $4090.99Open
Will the gold close price be above 4370.99 USD/t.oz on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4370.99Kalshi94% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 3970.99 USD/t.oz on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3970.99Kalshi96% Above $3970.99Open
Will the gold close price be above 4050.99 USD/t.oz on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4050.99Kalshi91% Above $4050.99Open
Will the gold close price be above 3930.99 USD/t.oz on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3930.99Kalshi99% Above $3930.99Open
Will the gold close price be above 4410.99 USD/t.oz on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4410.99Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 4970.99 USD/t.oz on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4970.99Kalshi94% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 4730.99 USD/t.oz on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4730.99Kalshi96% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 4690.99 USD/t.oz on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4690.99Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 3890.99 USD/t.oz on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3890.99Kalshi99% Above $3890.99Open
Will the gold close price be above 3810.99 USD/t.oz on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3810.99Kalshi99% Above $3810.99Open
Gold price on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 3770.99 USD/t.oz on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3770.99Kalshi99% Above $3770.99Open
Gold price on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 3850.99 USD/t.oz on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3850.99Kalshi98% Above $3850.99Open
Will the gold close price be above 3690.99 USD/t.oz on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3690.99Kalshi96% Above $3690.99Open
Will the gold close price be above 3570.99 USD/t.oz on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3570.99Kalshi99% Above $3570.99Open
Will the gold close price be above 3650.99 USD/t.oz on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3650.99Kalshi96% Above $3650.99Open
Will the gold close price be above 3610.99 USD/t.oz on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3610.99Kalshi96% Above $3610.99Open
Will the gold close price be above 5050.99 USD/t.oz on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $5050.99Kalshi99% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
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As of Sep 29, 11:57 PM UTC