Will Derek Lefebvre win the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Sourcehttps://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Andrés Fontecilla win the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election? | Polymarket | 68% Yes | Open |
| Will Randy Legault-Rankin win the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election? | Polymarket | 77% No | Open |
| Will Kelly Lazo de la Vega win the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Emil Parfyonov win the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Sep 29, 11:00 PM UTC